Civil Protection

Seasonality, exposure, climate trend for Generalitat

Civil Protection

Built for: Generalitat de Catalunya, Protecció Civil, and municipal emergency planners.

What you see: seasonality of events and losses by month, a 5-year climate trend, and per-province rankings of human and economic impact. The data combines DesInventar (1981–2003) and AGORA (1996–2020) — the most complete public flood record for Catalonia.

How to use it: the seasonality chart drives staffing and pre-positioning of assets; the climate trend supports multi-year budget planning; province rankings highlight where to prioritise drainage upgrades and citizen communication.

Results computed from the FloodCat algorithm and trained .pkl Random Forest models (feature importances, 64 Catalonia training rows, FloodPotential zones) imported directly from the project repository.

People affected

10,017

8 modern events + 56 DesInventar

Houses impacted

4,346

8 modern events + 56 DesInventar

Events catalogued

138

DesInventar + AGORA

Peak month

Sep

historical seasonality

Seasonality — events & loss by month
Drives staffing and pre-positioning of civil-protection assets
Climate trend — event frequency
5-year rolling mean (annual flood episodes)
Province ranking — people affected
DesInventar + modern events combined. Used to prioritise municipal-level preparedness budgets.
Loss vs people affected
Each AGORA loss episode paired with the temporally-closest event that reported people affected. Urban = ≥ 500 people impacted, Rural = below.